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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

In Bill McKibben's new book *Here Comes the Sun*, he frequently laments activists' tendency not to celebrate our wins, a habit that sees us always feeling as though we were losing, even when we're racking up massive victories:

https://billmckibben.com/books/here-comes-the-sun/

--

If you'd like an essay-formatted version of this thread to read or share, here's a link to it on pluralistic.net, my surveillance-free, ad-free, tracker-free blog:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/10/02/there-goes-the-sun/#carbon-shifting

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Bill McKibben

Here Comes the Sun

From the acclaimed environmentalist, a call to harness the power of the sun and rewrite our scientific, economic, and political future. Our climate, and our democracy, are melting down.
A Chinese Communist propaganda poster showing a cross-section of Chinese people waving the Little Red Book. The Little Red Book has been replaced with solar panels. The background has been replaced with the EU flag.
A Chinese Communist propaganda poster showing a cross-section of Chinese people waving the Little Red Book. The Little Red Book has been replaced with solar panels. The background has been replaced with the EU flag.
A Chinese Communist propaganda poster showing a cross-section of Chinese people waving the Little Red Book. The Little Red Book has been replaced with solar panels. The background has been replaced with the EU flag.
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Patrick Leavy
@patrickleavy@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 5 days ago

@pluralistic imagine if all that #AI hype money was invested into #solar 🤯

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Oggie
@Oggie@woof.group replied  ·  activity timestamp 5 days ago

@patrickleavy @pluralistic
I mean, this isn't realistic.

The cost of fully renovating the entire power grid to solar is far less than the money spent on AI, so we'd need to find something else to spend it on. Housing every person in the US?

No, that's not very expensive either, on that scale. Hmm. Might have to figure something else here ..

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Donald Ball
@donaldball@triangletoot.party replied  ·  activity timestamp 5 days ago

@patrickleavy @pluralistic There isn’t really a much better example of how maladaptive capitalism is or at least has become.

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Gaëtan Perrault
@gatesvp@mstdn.ca replied  ·  activity timestamp 5 days ago

@donaldball @patrickleavy @pluralistic

Rather than "maladaptive capitalism", I think solar is a great example of how complex it is to get the right balance between public goods and private markets.

"Imagine if these AI investments had instead been put into solar"... People tried to do this. Power companies could not and still can't build the required infrastructure fast enough. And before we blame that on capitalism, the not-for-profit Canadian Crown corporations that run power in several provinces also haven't been able to do this.

The US Interconnection Queue is twice its installed capacity. Billions of dollars have been put into power plants that are just sitting there waiting for local power companies to connect them. But nobody's going to put another $100 billion into building capacity while you're still waiting for the first hundred billion to come online.

Scratching the surface here, but the lack of solar has little to do with capitalism.

Latitude Media

The US interconnection queue is twice its installed capacity

According to new data from the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, connecting renewable energy to the grid is taking longer than ever, while projec
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tom jennings
@tomjennings@tldr.nettime.org replied  ·  activity timestamp 5 days ago

@pluralistic

When will we start moving dumps/landfills?

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

Will China step in and become the world's unipower as America shits itself to death after drinking raw milk or coughs itself to death after boycotting vaccines? I don't know. I hope we end up with a multipolar world, and that *someone* picks up the research agendas that Trump has destroyed. Earlier this year, Elon Musk's DOGE killed all the NIH grants that included the word "systemic" (because they're racist against the idea of "systemic racism").

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

The incremental reliability of designing tech so its owners can't override remote instructions is swamped by the massive risk that this power will be abused to attack individuals, regions, and whole countries.

As the US turns its back on solar, the sun is setting on the American empire. It's not clear whether there will be elections next year. Trump says he'll use terrorism laws to arrest people who are "anti-Christian" or "anti-capitalist":

https://jacobin.com/2025/10/trump-classifies-anti-capitalism-as-a-political-pre-crime/

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Trump Classifies “Anti-Capitalism” as a Political Pre-Crime

Donald Trump’s new security directive labels anti-capitalist beliefs as a predictor of political violence. The irony: left-wing structural analysis actually pushes people away from lone-wolf attacks and toward mass organizing for change.
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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

If you want to build a virtual power plant by harnessing the batteries of thousands of homeowners, or relieve grid pressure by adjusting the thermostats and fridges of millions of utility subscribers, it's a *lot* easier if you know that you're communicating with devices that do what you tell them to do and faithfully communicate their operations to you.

That's a tradeoff we're going to have to make, though.

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

Creating a legal and technical framework for local control over cleantech's software has many advantages. The mere existence of a killswitch (or any remote-update facility that device owners can't override) makes devices vulnerable to shutdown by malicious hackers as well as manufacturers.

However, a world of cleantech devices that are under their owners' absolute control also poses some challenges to the solar revolution.
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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

It's these US tech-protecting laws that create the conditions for an eventual mass-enshittification of cleantech. It's these laws that Chinese firms - and the Chinese state - would use to secure their ability to truly be the Saudi Arabia of the sun: not just the source of the technology that converts sunshine to electrons, but also the landlord of those sunbeams, with the power to evict whole countries from their solar arrays, at the click of a mouse.

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

Tariffs: another source of power that Trump has vaporized. The threat of tariffs loomed over the whole world, and fear of losing access to American markets meant that policymakers all over the world kept laws on the books that allowed US tech companies to extract rent and extort their populations. But a deterrent only works if you don't use it. Now that everyone's been tariffed by Trump, the threat is dead. Happy Liberation Day, folks.

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

Absent these laws, there could be a roaring trade in jailbreaking smart devices of all kinds - from printers to ventilators, but also all of cleantech - so that owners of these devices could always change how they work, blocking field updates and restoring functionality that had been confiscated by the manufacturer, whether due to greed or geopolitics.

The US trade rep got these IP laws passed abroad by threatening America's trading partners with tariffs.

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

Tomorrow, Chinese soft (and not-so-soft) power could be vested in the ability to remotely update, downgrade, disable, or brick whole countries' worth of cleantech:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/09/23/our-friend-the-electron/#to-every-man-his-castle

There's a way to prevent this, thankfully. The only reason that technologists around the world can't reverse-engineer and unlock these "smart" devices is that the US trade representative bullied every country into passing punitive IP laws that ban this practice:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/01/15/beauty-eh/#its-the-only-war-the-yankees-lost-except-for-vietnam-and-also-the-alamo-and-the-bay-of-ham

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https://pluralistic.net

Pluralistic: Canada shouldn't retaliate with US tariffs; Picks and Shovels Chapter One (Part 6 – CONCLUSION) (15 Jan 2025)

https://pluralistic.net

Pluralistic: The enshittification of solar (and how to stop it) (23 Sep 2025)

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

Solar - and the whole cleantech sector - is the first truly successful "internet of things" application. From inverters to EVs to household batteries, the new, electric world is digital and networked, and that means that it's all terribly enshittification prone.

Today, the US has the ability to remotely, permanently disable every John Deere tractor in the world and set off a global famine:

https://pluralistic.net/2022/05/08/about-those-kill-switched-ukrainian-tractors/

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https://pluralistic.net

About those kill-switched Ukrainian tractors

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

The point is that things are very much up for grabs right now. The planet is solarizing at rates that beggar the imagination (and warm the heart). McKibben quotes many sources who've called China "the Saudi Arabia of solar," but he is skeptical of that characterization. The sun, after all, shines *everywhere* and once you've got the solar installed, China can't take it away from you.

Or can they?

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

Trump hasn't just killed research funding in America - he's also singlehandedly reversed generations of work to lure the world's most talented scientists and scholars to the USA. Grad students, professors, engineers and researchers are leaving the US rather than risk being kidnapped to a gulag in El Salvador or imprisoned in Alligator Auschwitz. Our loss is everyone else's gain. It's not clear whether people will ever again aspire to come to America to pursue their research.

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

America's domestic research agenda used to set the standard for the world, because the brightest scholars in the world moved here to go to university and to pursue their research. This meant that the priorities behind US federal scientific and academic grants determined what the world's best and brightest worked on. Of course, that's dead, too.

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

American aid agendas used to give it a huge global footprint. When American evangelicals forced the government to ban aid that included birth control or helping gender minorities, countries all around the world saw surges in unwanted pregnancies and homophobic discrimination. Now that the US has cut off all that aid, the US can no longer set priorities for those countries.

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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

Even US military might is in decline. US military spending remains off the charts, but Trump and Hegseth are purging the forces, targeting Black and brown people (disproportionately represented in the US military because people from minority groups are typically poorer, and the US military recruits a *lot* of poor people without many other options):

https://theintercept.com/2025/10/01/pete-hegseth-war-pentagon-beardos-dei/

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The Intercept

Hegseth Attack on “Beardos” Targets Troops on Race and Religion, Military Sources Say

Hanafi Muslim and Nordic pagan service members told The Intercept Hegseth's new policy was exclusionary to their beliefs.
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Cory Doctorow
@pluralistic@mamot.fr replied  ·  activity timestamp 6 days ago

It's true that American policy was once *very* important to the whole world, but that was largely down to the things that Trump is hell-bent on destroying. American dollar-clearing and the SWIFT system gave the US a massive, global structural advantage, but the weaponization of SWIFT, the deliberate weakening of the US dollar, and the destruction of American monetarism via cryptocurrency scams has put dollar clearing into terminal decline:

https://pluralistic.net/2023/10/10/weaponized-interdependence/#the-other-swifties

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https://pluralistic.net

Pluralistic: Underground Empire; The Lost Cause prologue part IV (10 Oct 2023)

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