
44 But they obviously face competition in that space on the left - voters are
much more likely to say “Your party’ or the Liberal Democrats are a bigger
threat to Labour on the left than the Green Party
44 But the Green Party have one clear advantage over Your Party - while voters
split on whether they see them as a serious party (38-39) that is far higher than
for Your Party 16-50 and Your Party’s splits have created a bigger opening for
the Greens.
AA The big test for the greens is whether they can take their considerers (who
make up a bigger ratio of their overall vote than any other party) and make
them into voters. Polanski’s command of the attention economy feels like an
important step in doing that.

44 The idea of a wealth tax is popular across the board, though it is worth
stressing this is highly hypothetical and as with Digital ID, when the debate
became real with winners/losers and cost/benefit estimates this could shift
significantly.
44 Risks of Polanski’s approach? His embrace of a much more open immigration
policy isn’t backed by most voters - even green voters are more likely to say
reduce than increase (though by a smaller margin). That said there clearly is a
more pro-migration minority he could speak to.
44 There’s also a question whether the eco-populism pitch deters those who
were voting green for the eco bit. On balance I think the Green's future lies in
challenging Labour to the left, but it might make it harder to hold e.g. the two
rural seats they won in 2024.

46mago 16.29 8ST
Luke Tryl, a polling expert and More in Common UK director, has posted a
thread on Bluesky with some thoughts on Zack Polanski’s speech. His
comments are here, but you will need to read the thread to see all the charts
he has included.
44 Thoughts on Polanski speech: his pledge to “end rip off Britain” is closest to
chiming with public mood on the cost of living of leaders speeches yet. The sense
essentials, let alone treats are unaffordable & govt is unable/unwilling to tackle
it epitomises broken Britain mood
44 It’s also a message that resonates squarely with Polanski’s own voters, Green
voters along with Reform UK voters are the most likely to think we need to let
our institutions ‘burn’ and also the least likely to think that higher GDP growth
benefits people like them
44 Clearly his pitch is the ‘anti-system left’ designed to win support to Labour’s
left - and it’s pretty striking that when you look at the current VI of Green Party
voters, a plurality are those who voted for Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour in 2019.
44 Green supporters are younger than voters as a whole, and more female.
They are particularly likely to be animated by climate (unsurprisingly) and
housing compared to the wider public.